The short answer
Your P&L measures what you earned in a period. Your bank balance measures when money actually moved. Loan payments, equipment, inventory, tax you've collected but not yet paid, owner draws and gift cards all move cash without showing up as profit or loss in the same month. A cash flow forecast puts them on one calendar.
Where the cash goes that the P&L doesn't show
Loan payments
Only the interest is an expense. The part of each payment that reduces the loan comes out of the bank without touching the P&L.
Equipment and renovations
A new walk-in or a patio build is paid for up front, but expensed over years as depreciation. The cash is gone this month; the profit barely moves.
Inventory
Stocking up on a good price, or before a busy season, uses cash now. It only becomes cost of goods when it's used.
Sales tax
Tax collected from guests sits in your account until it's due. If it's spent in the meantime, the filing deadline becomes a cash crunch.
Owner draws
Money taken out by owners isn't an expense on the P&L, but it's still money that left the bank.
Gift cards
December gift card cash gets spent in December. The meals are served, and paid for in food and labour, in the months after.
Payment timing
Payroll every two weeks, rent on the first, vendors on terms that keep getting shorter, and card and delivery deposits that lag sales by days. A profitable month can still have a week where everything is due at once.
How to see it coming
- List what's coming in each week: expected sales deposits by channel, from your recent run rate.
- List what's going out each week: payroll, rent, loan payments, vendor bills by due date, tax remittances, planned purchases.
- Roll it forward week by week for the next few months, starting from today's bank balance.
- Find the low point. That's the week to plan for, by moving a purchase, talking to a vendor or arranging credit early.
- Set aside tax as it's collected, in a separate account if that's what it takes.
How Savoury handles it
What is owed, what is coming in, and what you can safely spend this week, with payroll, rent and tax dates on the calendar.
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